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Red9
531821.0
297225.7
473511.0
Blue96
141031.7
158319.2
589922.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63621020304050708090996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2972
#17
25.75.5
20.414.8
Auto8.5
Teleop13.6
End3.6
blue by 6.0
31.71.1
27.528.6
Auto9.9
Teleop15.1
End6.7
Second
5318
#32
21.05.5
21.115.6
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End3.9
blue by 1.7
5899
#29
22.76.4
23.517.1
Auto9.1
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Third
4735
#48
11.04.4
17.413.0
Auto6.4
Teleop5.0
End-0.4
blue by 8.2
1583
#26
19.21.5
19.320.8
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
30%Breach oddsMissed59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed