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Qual 22016 Colorado Regional
Red75
548511.8
323041.9
549314.3
Blue34
158416.4
429328.1
197720.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775002040601001207534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#2
41.90.0
34.6→34.6
Auto9.8
Teleop22.6
End9.6
red by 13.9
4293
#14
28.12.1
18.2→16.1
Auto9.5
Teleop14.3
End4.3
Second
5493
#38DQ
14.30.1
18.8→18.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End0.4
blue by 6.1
1977
#40
20.52.1
17.8→15.8
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End3.6
Third
5485
#42
11.80.1
17.3→17.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End1.0
blue by 4.6
1584
#47
16.42.1
16.8→14.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed