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Qual 112016 Colorado Regional
Red64
441819.0
133222.8
438831.2
Blue71
158319.2
328830.7
455021.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67720501001502002503003506471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#11
31.20.1
25.1→24.9
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End3.9
red by 0.5
3288
#3
30.70.1
24.9→25.0
Auto9.7
Teleop15.5
End5.5
Second
1332
#30
22.80.2
21.4→21.1
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End3.4
red by 1.0
4550
#23
21.80.1
23.9→24.0
Auto7.1
Teleop11.8
End3.0
Third
4418
#39
19.00.2
19.7→19.4
Auto2.4
Teleop13.2
End3.4
blue by 0.2
1583
#26
19.20.1
21.0→21.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed