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Qual 122016 Colorado Regional
Red81
589922.7
225919.6
115728.7
Blue52
294515.7
226122.8
15918.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5554203040506070808152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1157
#6
28.73.2
20.3→23.5
Auto9.1
Teleop14.6
End4.9
red by 5.9
2261
#16
22.80.2
19.1→18.9
Auto2.8
Teleop14.0
End5.9
Second
5899
#29
22.73.2
18.3→21.5
Auto9.1
Teleop11.2
End2.4
red by 4.7
159
#19
18.00.2
18.1→18.0
Auto2.3
Teleop12.6
End3.1
Third
2259
#33
19.63.2
13.8→17.0
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End3.4
red by 3.8
2945
#41
15.70.2
16.4→16.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.4
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsEarned51%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed