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Qual 132016 Colorado Regional
Red95
323041.9
531821.0
113828.6
Blue83
548511.8
101138.0
133927.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8079506070901009583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#2
41.90.6
35.7→36.3
Auto9.8
Teleop22.6
End9.6
red by 3.9
1011
#4
38.00.0
34.2→34.2
Auto10.9
Teleop21.5
End5.6
Second
1138
#12
28.60.7
23.5→24.2
Auto4.7
Teleop19.8
End4.2
red by 1.2
1339
#34
27.50.0
27.0→27.0
Auto9.6
Teleop12.9
End5.0
Third
5318
#32
21.00.9
17.3→18.2
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End3.9
red by 9.2
5485
#42
11.80.1
17.2→17.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed