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Red76
415326.7
494421.3
110834.6
Blue24
320016.6
473511.0
549314.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805302040601001207624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.2
26.826.6
Auto9.2
Teleop20.5
End4.9
red by 17.9
3200
#44
16.64.0
22.518.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.4
End2.8
Second
4153
#20
26.70.2
29.429.3
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End4.3
red by 12.4
5493
#38
14.34.0
19.915.8
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End0.4
Third
4944
#18
21.30.2
17.517.3
Auto5.9
Teleop12.7
End2.7
red by 10.3
4735
#48
11.03.0
13.010.0
Auto6.4
Teleop5.0
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsMissed31%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed