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Qual 152016 Colorado Regional
Red119
179914.9
576322.9
161945.4
Blue113
406823.6
449934.1
66228.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7382204060100120140119113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#1
45.42.4
40.3→42.7
Auto15.0
Teleop25.3
End5.0
red by 11.3
4499
#13
34.12.8
30.2→33.0
Auto7.8
Teleop21.5
End4.8
Second
5763
#28
22.94.1
13.9→17.9
Auto10.1
Teleop9.7
End3.2
blue by 5.9
662
#7
28.82.6
27.7→30.3
Auto6.7
Teleop17.5
End4.6
Third
1799
#35
14.94.1
18.3→22.4
Auto7.5
Teleop5.1
End2.2
blue by 8.8
4068
#27
23.63.8
20.6→24.4
Auto2.8
Teleop16.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned