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Qual 162016 Colorado Regional
Red105
565730.5
299636.4
159229.3
Blue34
380715.8
459319.3
158416.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7651020406010012010534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#22
36.42.3
31.8→34.2
Auto8.1
Teleop23.8
End4.5
red by 17.1
4593
#15
19.32.1
20.3→18.2
Auto7.1
Teleop9.5
End2.6
Second
5657
#21
30.53.9
18.2→22.1
Auto9.3
Teleop11.8
End9.4
red by 14.1
1584
#47
16.42.1
15.5→13.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Third
1592
#10
29.32.9
19.8→22.7
Auto8.0
Teleop18.3
End3.0
red by 13.4
3807
#24
15.82.1
17.0→14.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsMissed43%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed