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Red64
364817.3
133222.8
549314.3
Blue66
130315.2
576322.9
115728.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565902040801006466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1332
#30
22.81.0
21.622.7
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End3.4
blue by 5.9
28.70.4
24.024.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.6
End4.9
Second
3648
#43
17.31.0
15.316.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.5
End1.8
blue by 5.6
5763
#28
22.90.4
17.718.1
Auto10.1
Teleop9.7
End3.2
Third
5493
#38
14.31.0
18.019.0
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End0.4
blue by 0.9
1303
#45
15.20.4
15.515.9
Auto6.5
Teleop4.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned50%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed