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Qual 262016 Colorado Regional
Red40
158319.2
459319.3
133927.5
Blue106
161945.4
203621.0
548511.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6579204010012014040106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1339
#34
27.51.7
26.9→25.2
Auto9.6
Teleop12.9
End5.0
blue by 17.9
1619
#1
45.41.4
43.4→44.8
Auto15.0
Teleop25.3
End5.0
Second
4593
#15
19.32.8
16.4→13.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.5
End2.6
blue by 1.7
2036
#36
21.02.4
16.3→18.7
Auto6.4
Teleop11.9
End2.6
Third
1583
#26
19.22.8
21.9→19.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End3.0
red by 7.4
5485
#42
11.82.4
14.8→17.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsMissed59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed