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Red77
372923.8
113828.6
589922.7
Blue70
197720.5
406823.6
299636.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions717640601001207770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1138
#12
28.60.2
25.926.1
Auto4.7
Teleop19.8
End4.2
blue by 7.8
2996
#22
36.40.2
34.033.8
Auto8.1
Teleop23.8
End4.5
Second
3729
#25
23.80.3
22.522.8
Auto6.8
Teleop13.5
End3.4
red by 0.1
4068
#27
23.60.3
22.021.7
Auto2.8
Teleop16.4
End4.5
Third
5899
#29
22.70.3
20.921.2
Auto9.1
Teleop11.2
End2.4
red by 2.2
1977
#40
20.50.3
17.016.6
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsMissed52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed