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Red64
328830.7
473511.0
124521.7
Blue82
438618.4
429328.1
380715.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55602040801006482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.7
25.125.8
Auto9.7
Teleop15.5
End5.5
red by 2.6
4293
#14
28.11.0
21.222.2
Auto9.5
Teleop14.3
End4.3
Second
1245
#37
21.71.1
17.818.9
Auto6.6
Teleop11.1
End4.0
red by 3.2
4386
#46
18.41.0
19.520.5
Auto5.8
Teleop9.7
End2.9
Third
4735
#48
11.00.7
11.211.9
Auto6.4
Teleop5.0
End-0.4
blue by 4.9
3807
#24
15.81.0
17.118.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed