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Qual 292016 Colorado Regional
Red89
323041.9
226122.8
494421.3
Blue32
179914.9
441819.0
159229.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7961020401001201408932

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#2
41.90.7
37.0→37.7
Auto9.8
Teleop22.6
End9.6
red by 12.7
1592
#10
29.32.0
24.4→22.4
Auto8.0
Teleop18.3
End3.0
Second
2261
#16
22.81.1
18.3→19.4
Auto2.8
Teleop14.0
End5.9
red by 3.7
4418
#39
19.03.3
17.6→14.3
Auto2.4
Teleop13.2
End3.4
Third
4944
#18
21.30.7
18.6→19.3
Auto5.9
Teleop12.7
End2.7
red by 6.4
1799
#35
14.93.3
19.9→16.6
Auto7.5
Teleop5.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned28%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed