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Qual 302016 Colorado Regional
Red106
449934.1
224027.6
438831.2
Blue98
565730.5
297225.7
110834.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8474020406010012014016010698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#13
34.11.8
31.7→33.5
Auto7.8
Teleop21.5
End4.8
blue by 0.5
1108
#8
34.61.3
27.7→29.0
Auto9.2
Teleop20.5
End4.9
Second
4388
#11
31.21.8
26.5→28.3
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End3.9
red by 0.7
5657
#21
30.52.1
23.5→25.7
Auto9.3
Teleop11.8
End9.4
Third
2240
#5
27.62.9
21.4→24.3
Auto7.6
Teleop15.3
End4.6
red by 1.9
2972
#17
25.72.1
22.4→24.6
Auto8.5
Teleop13.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed