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Qual 312016 Colorado Regional
Red44
531821.0
225919.6
158416.4
Blue66
66228.8
15918.0
320016.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions497702040601001201404466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5318
#32
21.00.9
20.4→19.5
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End3.9
blue by 7.8
662
#7
28.80.3
31.8→31.5
Auto6.7
Teleop17.5
End4.6
Second
2259
#33
19.60.9
17.2→16.3
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End3.4
red by 1.6
159
#19
18.00.5
19.4→18.8
Auto2.3
Teleop12.6
End3.1
Third
1584
#47
16.40.9
14.6→13.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End2.5
blue by 0.2
3200
#44
16.60.5
19.7→19.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsMissed86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed