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Qual 322016 Colorado Regional
Red100
141031.7
208323.0
101138.0
Blue67
455021.8
294515.7
415326.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90682040608010012014010067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1011
#4
38.01.1
35.3→36.3
Auto10.9
Teleop21.5
End5.6
red by 11.3
4153
#20
26.70.8
29.4→28.6
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End4.3
Second
1410
#9
31.71.1
30.5→31.6
Auto9.9
Teleop15.1
End6.7
red by 9.9
4550
#23
21.80.8
22.5→21.7
Auto7.1
Teleop11.8
End3.0
Third
2083
#31
23.01.8
18.3→20.1
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End2.6
red by 7.3
2945
#41
15.71.4
17.4→16.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.4
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed