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Red103
565730.5
576322.9
589922.7
Blue67
203621.0
429328.1
441819.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6954020408010012014010367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5657
#21
30.52.6
25.728.2
Auto9.3
Teleop11.8
End9.4
red by 2.4
4293
#14
28.11.3
22.223.6
Auto9.5
Teleop14.3
End4.3
Second
5763
#28
22.92.6
18.120.7
Auto10.1
Teleop9.7
End3.2
red by 2.0
2036
#36
21.01.3
18.720.0
Auto6.4
Teleop11.9
End2.6
Third
5899
#29
22.72.6
21.223.8
Auto9.1
Teleop11.2
End2.4
red by 3.7
4418
#39
19.01.3
14.315.6
Auto2.4
Teleop13.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed