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Qual 352016 Colorado Regional
Red49
158319.2
113828.6
179914.9
Blue44
124521.7
320016.6
158416.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665102040801001201404944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1138
#12
28.60.9
26.1→25.3
Auto4.7
Teleop19.8
End4.2
red by 7.0
1245
#37
21.70.9
18.9→18.0
Auto6.6
Teleop11.1
End4.0
Second
1583
#26
19.21.4
19.2→17.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End3.0
red by 2.5
3200
#44
16.60.9
19.2→18.3
Auto3.5
Teleop10.4
End2.8
Third
1799
#35
14.91.4
16.6→15.2
Auto7.5
Teleop5.1
End2.2
blue by 1.6
1584
#47
16.40.9
13.7→12.8
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed