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Qual 362016 Colorado Regional
Red25
225919.6
548511.8
294515.7
Blue100
224027.6
110834.6
115728.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4586020608010012014025100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2259
#33
19.62.7
16.3→13.5
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End3.4
blue by 15.0
1108
#8
34.61.1
29.0→30.2
Auto9.2
Teleop20.5
End4.9
Second
2945
#41
15.72.7
16.1→13.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.4
End-0.3
blue by 13.0
1157
#6
28.71.9
24.4→26.3
Auto9.1
Teleop14.6
End4.9
Third
5485
#42
11.82.7
17.2→14.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End1.0
blue by 15.8
2240
#5
27.61.9
24.3→26.3
Auto7.6
Teleop15.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsMissed79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned