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Qual 372016 Colorado Regional
Red74
438618.4
101138.0
406823.6
Blue75
226122.8
328830.7
141031.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80806070901007475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1011
#4
38.00.3
36.3→36.0
Auto10.9
Teleop21.5
End5.6
red by 6.3
1410
#9
31.70.1
31.6→31.5
Auto9.9
Teleop15.1
End6.7
Second
4068
#27
23.60.5
21.7→21.2
Auto2.8
Teleop16.4
End4.5
blue by 7.1
3288
#3
30.70.1
25.8→25.7
Auto9.7
Teleop15.5
End5.5
Third
4386
#46
18.40.5
20.5→20.0
Auto5.8
Teleop9.7
End2.9
blue by 4.4
2261
#16
22.80.2
19.4→19.2
Auto2.8
Teleop14.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsMissed84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed