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Red80
549314.3
380715.8
438831.2
Blue65
372923.8
15918.0
133927.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67690501001502002508065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#11
31.21.0
28.329.3
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End3.9
red by 3.8
1339
#34
27.50.1
25.225.1
Auto9.6
Teleop12.9
End5.0
Second
3807
#24
15.81.6
18.119.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End1.5
blue by 7.9
3729
#25
23.80.2
22.822.6
Auto6.8
Teleop13.5
End3.4
Third
5493
#38
14.31.6
19.020.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End0.4
blue by 3.6
159
#19
18.00.2
18.818.6
Auto2.3
Teleop12.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed