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Qual 402016 Colorado Regional
Red21
66228.8
531821.0
455021.8
Blue53
459319.3
494421.3
197720.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8046020601001201402153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
662
#7
28.83.4
31.5→28.0
Auto6.7
Teleop17.5
End4.6
red by 7.5
4944
#18
21.30.2
19.3→19.5
Auto5.9
Teleop12.7
End2.7
Second
4550
#23
21.83.4
21.7→18.3
Auto7.1
Teleop11.8
End3.0
red by 1.3
1977
#40
20.50.4
16.6→17.0
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End3.6
Third
5318
#32
21.05.7
19.5→13.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End3.9
red by 1.7
4593
#15
19.30.4
13.6→14.0
Auto7.1
Teleop9.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsMissed26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed