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Qual 412016 Colorado Regional
Red58
158319.2
158416.4
406823.6
Blue94
364817.3
294515.7
101138.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51680204060801005894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4068
#27
23.60.7
21.2→21.9
Auto2.8
Teleop16.4
End4.5
blue by 14.4
1011
#4
38.00.7
36.0→36.7
Auto10.9
Teleop21.5
End5.6
Second
1583
#26
19.20.7
17.7→18.4
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End3.0
red by 1.8
3648
#43
17.31.1
14.4→15.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.5
End1.8
Third
1584
#47
16.40.7
12.8→13.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End2.5
red by 0.7
2945
#41
15.71.1
13.3→14.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.4
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed