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Qual 422016 Colorado Regional
Red116
328830.7
159229.3
110834.6
Blue95
323041.9
415326.7
589922.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8097406012014011695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1108
#8
34.62.4
30.2→32.6
Auto9.2
Teleop20.5
End4.9
blue by 7.3
3230
#2
41.90.2
39.5→39.8
Auto9.8
Teleop22.6
End9.6
Second
3288
#3
30.72.4
25.7→28.1
Auto9.7
Teleop15.5
End5.5
red by 4.0
4153
#20
26.70.2
28.5→28.7
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End4.3
Third
1592
#10
29.32.4
24.2→26.6
Auto8.0
Teleop18.3
End3.0
red by 6.6
5899
#29
22.70.4
23.8→24.1
Auto9.1
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed