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Qual 462016 Colorado Regional
Red69
576322.9
372923.8
548511.8
Blue80
455021.8
438831.2
494421.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577102040801001206980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3729
#25
23.80.1
22.6→22.7
Auto6.8
Teleop13.5
End3.4
blue by 7.5
4388
#11
31.20.9
29.3→30.1
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End3.9
Second
5763
#28
22.90.1
20.7→20.8
Auto10.1
Teleop9.7
End3.2
red by 1.1
4550
#23
21.80.9
18.3→19.1
Auto7.1
Teleop11.8
End3.0
Third
5485
#42
11.80.1
14.4→14.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End1.0
blue by 9.5
4944
#18
21.30.9
19.5→20.4
Auto5.9
Teleop12.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed