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Qual 472016 Colorado Regional
Red95
299636.4
203621.0
15918.0
Blue47
320016.6
449934.1
197720.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78702040601001201401609547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#22
36.41.0
35.7→36.7
Auto8.1
Teleop23.8
End4.5
red by 2.3
4499
#13
34.11.5
33.4→32.0
Auto7.8
Teleop21.5
End4.8
Second
2036
#36
21.01.7
20.0→21.7
Auto6.4
Teleop11.9
End2.6
red by 0.5
1977
#40
20.52.4
17.0→14.6
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End3.6
Third
159
#19
18.01.7
18.6→20.4
Auto2.3
Teleop12.6
End3.1
red by 1.3
3200
#44
16.62.4
18.3→15.9
Auto3.5
Teleop10.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed