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Red88
179914.9
406823.6
323041.9
Blue79
133222.8
415326.7
531821.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions746402040801001208879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.91.2
34.635.7
Auto9.8
Teleop22.6
End9.6
red by 15.2
4153
#20
26.71.2
28.329.4
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End4.3
Second
4068
#27
23.61.9
18.620.6
Auto2.8
Teleop16.4
End4.5
red by 0.8
1332
#30
22.81.7
19.621.4
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End3.4
Third
1799
#35
14.91.9
17.419.3
Auto7.5
Teleop5.1
End2.2
blue by 6.2
5318
#32
21.01.7
15.617.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsEarned51%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed