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Qual 502016 Colorado Regional
Red82
429328.1
372923.8
226122.8
Blue64
158416.4
294515.7
110834.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476101001502002503008264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4293
#14
28.13.2
16.1→19.3
Auto9.5
Teleop14.3
End4.3
blue by 6.5
1108
#8
34.60.6
26.9→27.5
Auto9.2
Teleop20.5
End4.9
Second
3729
#25
23.83.2
16.1→19.3
Auto6.8
Teleop13.5
End3.4
red by 7.4
1584
#47
16.40.8
14.7→15.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Third
2261
#16
22.83.2
15.8→19.1
Auto2.8
Teleop14.0
End5.9
red by 7.0
2945
#41
15.70.8
15.6→16.4
Auto4.7
Teleop11.4
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed