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Red80
589922.7
299636.4
320016.6
Blue127
161945.4
438831.2
297225.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747340608010012080127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#22
36.40.8
31.131.8
Auto8.1
Teleop23.8
End4.5
blue by 9.0
45.43.2
37.040.3
Auto15.0
Teleop25.3
End5.0
Second
5899
#29
22.71.2
17.118.3
Auto9.1
Teleop11.2
End2.4
blue by 8.5
4388
#11
31.23.6
21.525.1
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End3.9
Third
3200
#44
16.61.2
21.422.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.4
End2.8
blue by 9.0
2972
#17
25.75.4
14.820.2
Auto8.5
Teleop13.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned