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Qual 532016 Colorado Regional
Red45
130315.2
549314.3
438618.4
Blue81
455021.8
225919.6
113828.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596302040801001204581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4386
#46
18.41.4
20.0→18.6
Auto5.8
Teleop9.7
End2.9
blue by 10.2
1138
#12
28.61.0
25.3→26.3
Auto4.7
Teleop19.8
End4.2
Second
1303
#45
15.21.4
16.9→15.5
Auto6.5
Teleop4.7
End4.1
blue by 6.6
4550
#23
21.81.0
19.1→20.1
Auto7.1
Teleop11.8
End3.0
Third
5493
#38
14.31.4
20.6→19.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End0.4
blue by 5.2
2259
#33
19.61.7
16.4→18.1
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsMissed57%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed