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Red57
297225.7
494421.3
549314.3
Blue74
158319.2
226122.8
299636.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67802040601001205774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2972
#17
25.73.1
27.224.1
Auto8.5
Teleop13.6
End3.6
blue by 10.7
2996
#22
36.40.1
36.736.6
Auto8.1
Teleop23.8
End4.5
Second
4944
#18
21.32.0
20.418.4
Auto5.9
Teleop12.7
End2.7
blue by 1.5
2261
#16
22.80.2
20.620.5
Auto2.8
Teleop14.0
End5.9
Third
5493
#38
14.33.1
19.216.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End0.4
blue by 4.9
1583
#26
19.20.2
18.418.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsMissed74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed