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Qual 592016 Colorado Regional
Red45
133222.8
294515.7
130315.2
Blue102
110834.6
459319.3
438831.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5084020406010012014045102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1332
#30
22.80.9
23.7→22.8
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End3.4
blue by 11.8
1108
#8
34.61.7
32.6→34.3
Auto9.2
Teleop20.5
End4.9
Second
2945
#41
15.70.9
14.5→13.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.4
End-0.3
blue by 15.5
4388
#11
31.21.7
30.1→31.8
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End3.9
Third
1303
#45
15.20.9
15.5→14.6
Auto6.5
Teleop4.7
End4.1
blue by 4.0
4593
#15
19.32.7
13.6→16.2
Auto7.1
Teleop9.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsMissed50%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed