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Qual 612016 Colorado Regional
Red104
328830.7
161945.4
320016.6
Blue81
372923.8
101138.0
197720.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9675406012014016010481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#1
45.40.4
46.7→46.2
Auto15.0
Teleop25.3
End5.0
red by 7.4
1011
#4
38.00.3
37.0→37.3
Auto10.9
Teleop21.5
End5.6
Second
3288
#3
30.70.4
28.1→27.6
Auto9.7
Teleop15.5
End5.5
red by 6.9
3729
#25
23.80.5
22.7→23.2
Auto6.8
Teleop13.5
End3.4
Third
3200
#44
16.60.7
15.9→15.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.4
End2.8
blue by 3.8
1977
#40
20.50.5
16.3→16.8
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed