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Qual 622016 Colorado Regional
Red130
323041.9
565730.5
449934.1
Blue92
133927.5
225919.6
141031.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1106605010015013092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#2
41.92.0
39.8→41.7
Auto9.8
Teleop22.6
End9.6
red by 10.2
1410
#9
31.71.4
27.9→29.3
Auto9.9
Teleop15.1
End6.7
Second
4499
#13
34.12.0
32.3→34.3
Auto7.8
Teleop21.5
End4.8
red by 6.6
1339
#34
27.51.4
24.9→26.3
Auto9.6
Teleop12.9
End5.0
Third
5657
#21
30.53.3
28.2→31.5
Auto9.3
Teleop11.8
End9.4
red by 10.9
2259
#33
19.62.2
18.1→20.3
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed