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Qual 642016 Colorado Regional
Red65
66228.8
124521.7
380715.8
Blue45
208323.0
548511.8
589922.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6565304050607080901006545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
662
#7
28.80.1
28.1→28.2
Auto6.7
Teleop17.5
End4.6
red by 5.8
2083
#31
23.01.9
23.2→21.3
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End2.6
Second
1245
#37
21.70.2
19.3→19.5
Auto6.6
Teleop11.1
End4.0
blue by 1.0
5899
#29
22.71.9
24.1→22.2
Auto9.1
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Third
3807
#24
15.80.2
15.6→15.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End1.5
red by 4.0
5485
#42
11.81.9
15.8→13.9
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed