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Qual 652016 Colorado Regional
Red82
294515.7
438831.2
429328.1
Blue95
161945.4
494421.3
531821.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7386204060801001201408295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#11
31.20.6
31.8→32.5
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End3.9
blue by 14.1
1619
#1
45.40.9
46.2→47.1
Auto15.0
Teleop25.3
End5.0
Second
4293
#14
28.10.9
27.1→28.0
Auto9.5
Teleop14.3
End4.3
red by 6.8
4944
#18
21.30.9
19.1→20.0
Auto5.9
Teleop12.7
End2.7
Third
2945
#41
15.70.9
13.6→14.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.4
End-0.3
blue by 5.3
5318
#32
21.01.3
16.6→17.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed