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Qual 662016 Colorado Regional
Red91
133222.8
158319.2
101138.0
Blue76
225919.6
372923.8
565730.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817740601001209176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1011
#4
38.00.8
37.3→38.2
Auto10.9
Teleop21.5
End5.6
red by 7.5
5657
#21
30.50.4
32.0→31.5
Auto9.3
Teleop11.8
End9.4
Second
1332
#30
22.81.2
22.8→24.0
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End3.4
blue by 1.0
3729
#25
23.80.4
23.2→22.8
Auto6.8
Teleop13.5
End3.4
Third
1583
#26
19.21.2
18.2→19.4
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End3.0
blue by 0.4
2259
#33
19.60.4
20.3→19.9
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed