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Qual 752016 Colorado Regional
Red91
459319.3
429328.1
406823.6
Blue62
438618.4
438831.2
225919.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70754060801001209162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4293
#14
28.12.0
28.0→30.0
Auto9.5
Teleop14.3
End4.3
blue by 3.2
4388
#11
31.20.7
32.5→31.8
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End3.9
Second
4068
#27
23.62.0
22.0→24.0
Auto2.8
Teleop16.4
End4.5
red by 4.1
2259
#33
19.60.9
19.9→19.0
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End3.4
Third
4593
#15
19.32.0
18.6→20.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.5
End2.6
red by 0.9
4386
#46
18.40.9
19.6→18.7
Auto5.8
Teleop9.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed