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Qual 762016 Colorado Regional
Red77
224027.6
320016.6
179914.9
Blue47
589922.7
549314.3
441819.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566102040801001201407747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2240
#5
27.61.9
27.8→29.7
Auto7.6
Teleop15.3
End4.6
red by 4.9
5899
#29
22.71.1
24.1→23.0
Auto9.1
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Second
3200
#44
16.61.9
15.4→17.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.4
End2.8
blue by 2.4
4418
#39
19.01.1
18.1→17.1
Auto2.4
Teleop13.2
End3.4
Third
1799
#35
14.91.9
12.1→14.0
Auto7.5
Teleop5.1
End2.2
red by 0.5
5493
#38
14.31.1
16.6→15.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed