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Red69
380715.8
455021.8
161945.4
Blue76
115728.7
323041.9
15918.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8798204060801201401606976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.41.1
46.345.1
Auto15.0
Teleop25.3
End5.0
red by 3.4
41.91.2
43.642.4
Auto9.8
Teleop22.6
End9.6
Second
4550
#23
21.81.1
22.721.6
Auto7.1
Teleop11.8
End3.0
blue by 6.9
28.71.4
30.429.0
Auto9.1
Teleop14.6
End4.9
Third
3807
#24
15.81.4
17.215.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End1.5
blue by 2.1
159
#19
18.01.4
19.418.0
Auto2.3
Teleop12.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed