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Qual 852016 Colorado Regional
Red75
101138.0
66228.8
441819.0
Blue68
549314.3
429328.1
299636.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8786506070801001101201307568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1011
#4
38.00.7
38.4→37.8
Auto10.9
Teleop21.5
End5.6
red by 1.6
2996
#22
36.41.0
38.0→36.9
Auto8.1
Teleop23.8
End4.5
Second
662
#7
28.80.7
29.3→28.6
Auto6.7
Teleop17.5
End4.6
red by 0.8
4293
#14
28.11.3
30.0→28.7
Auto9.5
Teleop14.3
End4.3
Third
4418
#39
19.00.8
17.1→16.3
Auto2.4
Teleop13.2
End3.4
red by 4.7
5493
#38
14.31.3
15.6→14.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed