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Red82
124521.7
159229.3
225919.6
Blue64
197720.5
438831.2
473511.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73642040801001208264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#10
29.30.5
29.830.3
Auto8.0
Teleop18.3
End3.0
blue by 2.0
4388
#11
31.20.0
31.831.8
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End3.9
Second
1245
#37
21.70.6
21.121.7
Auto6.6
Teleop11.1
End4.0
red by 1.2
1977
#40
20.50.0
21.021.0
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End3.6
Third
2259
#33
19.60.6
19.019.6
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End3.4
red by 8.6
4735
#48
11.00.0
11.011.0
Auto6.4
Teleop5.0
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsEarned45%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed