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Quarterfinal 1-12016 Colorado Regional
Red154
101138.0
161945.4
455021.8
Blue107
565730.5
438831.2
429328.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13210950150200154107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#1
45.40.1
45.1→45.0
Auto15.0
Teleop25.3
End5.0
red by 14.1
4388
#11
31.20.2
31.8→31.6
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End3.9
Second
1011
#4
38.00.1
37.8→37.6
Auto10.9
Teleop21.5
End5.6
red by 7.5
5657
#21
30.50.2
31.2→30.9
Auto9.3
Teleop11.8
End9.4
Third
4550
#23
21.80.1
21.6→21.4
Auto7.1
Teleop11.8
End3.0
blue by 6.2
4293
#14
28.10.2
28.7→28.5
Auto9.5
Teleop14.3
End4.3