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Semifinal 1-12016 Colorado Regional
Red109
101138.0
161945.4
455021.8
Blue84
159229.3
224027.6
576322.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1359205015020010984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#1
45.40.4
44.9→44.4
Auto15.0
Teleop25.3
End5.0
red by 16.1
1592
#10
29.30.4
29.7→29.3
Auto8.0
Teleop18.3
End3.0
Second
1011
#4
38.00.4
37.5→37.1
Auto10.9
Teleop21.5
End5.6
red by 10.5
2240
#5
27.60.4
28.1→27.6
Auto7.6
Teleop15.3
End4.6
Third
4550
#23
21.80.4
21.3→20.9
Auto7.1
Teleop11.8
End3.0
blue by 1.1
5763
#28
22.90.4
23.4→23.0
Auto10.1
Teleop9.7
End3.2