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Red185
55840.9
19556.5
346131.9
Blue132
199128.2
217026.5
23735.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1669950150200185132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
56.50.1
56.456.6
Auto12.1
Teleop37.6
End6.9
red by 21.4
237
#17
35.20.4
34.835.2
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End9.8
Second
558
#8
40.90.1
40.740.9
Auto8.6
Teleop27.5
End4.7
red by 12.7
1991
#29
28.20.4
27.828.2
Auto9.0
Teleop14.1
End5.0
Third
3461
#31
31.90.1
31.831.9
Auto10.6
Teleop17.2
End4.2
red by 5.4
2170
#10
26.50.4
26.126.5
Auto2.9
Teleop17.9
End5.7