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Red100
112435.7
99932.2
169923.4
Blue150
109933.1
568627.5
18134.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111130406080100120140160180200100150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1124
#20
35.70.4
37.036.5
Auto12.0
Teleop20.6
End3.0
red by 1.1
181
#15
34.60.1
35.135.2
Auto9.8
Teleop18.9
End5.9
Second
999
#4
32.20.4
33.533.0
Auto8.7
Teleop17.8
End5.7
blue by 0.9
33.10.1
33.633.7
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End5.1
Third
1699
#19
23.40.4
24.624.2
Auto5.3
Teleop14.6
End3.4
blue by 4.1
27.50.1
28.028.0
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End4.1