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Red74
568627.5
318221.8
365418.6
Blue87
405531.3
346427.6
23629.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61820501001502007487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.8
22.823.5
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End4.1
blue by 3.8
31.30.4
27.928.3
Auto10.0
Teleop16.0
End5.3
Second
3182
#36
21.80.8
22.623.4
Auto6.1
Teleop11.8
End3.9
blue by 7.4
236
#22
29.20.4
22.723.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.7
End5.9
Third
3654
#28
18.60.8
17.117.9
Auto1.4
Teleop14.3
End2.9
blue by 9.0
3464
#21
27.60.4
25.726.1
Auto10.9
Teleop11.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed