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Red117
462822.3
17538.0
206741.3
Blue107
278529.0
363422.9
19556.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions859850150200117107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.31.8
37.939.7
Auto13.0
Teleop23.0
End5.3
blue by 15.3
195
#1
56.50.9
47.348.2
Auto12.1
Teleop37.6
End6.9
Second
175
#11
38.01.8
29.431.2
Auto9.4
Teleop20.6
End8.0
red by 9.0
2785
#18
29.00.9
25.926.8
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End4.5
Third
4628
#34
22.31.8
17.719.5
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End3.6
blue by 0.6
3634
#32
22.90.9
20.021.0
Auto5.3
Teleop14.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed