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Red128
112435.7
23629.2
17640.2
Blue79
457223.3
405531.3
371822.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions986405015020012879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#14
40.22.5
35.938.4
Auto9.0
Teleop24.7
End6.6
red by 8.9
31.30.8
28.329.1
Auto10.0
Teleop16.0
End5.3
Second
1124
#20
35.72.5
31.033.5
Auto12.0
Teleop20.6
End3.0
red by 12.4
4572
#27
23.30.8
19.720.5
Auto8.1
Teleop11.8
End3.4
Third
236
#22
29.22.5
23.125.6
Auto9.7
Teleop13.7
End5.9
red by 7.1
3718
#35
22.10.8
19.019.8
Auto3.1
Teleop16.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed