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Red74
15537.0
455725.1
310420.6
Blue91
568627.5
23735.2
199128.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71890501502002507491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155
#26
37.00.2
33.333.5
Auto9.0
Teleop20.1
End7.9
red by 1.8
237
#17
35.20.5
30.631.1
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End9.8
Second
4557
#25
25.10.2
23.323.5
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End2.9
blue by 3.0
1991
#29
28.20.5
29.830.3
Auto9.0
Teleop14.1
End5.0
Third
3104
#13
20.60.2
14.714.9
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End4.2
blue by 6.8
27.50.5
23.524.0
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed